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This page shows the ELO score history of the selected club - mapping their best and worst sides of all time, and their most unlikely victories and defeats based on their ELO score.

Inspired by ClubELO.com, the ELO rating system is a method of calculating and comparing the relative strengths of teams in competition. For every match played, the ELO scores of the two teams are considered, and adjusted for other factors (such as home advantage), to calculate the likelihood of the match result. When the actual result of the game is known, the ELO score is adjusted accordingly, comparing the expected outcome of the game with the actual outcome - so a victory over Manchester United will be worth more points than one over Supermarine. The resulting ELO score can be used to compare the strengths of teams over time, and to project future results based on the current form of all teams.

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AFC HORNCHURCH
score history | best teams | worst teams | significant victories | significant defeats | bogey teams

 

A historical overview of AFC Hornchurch's ELO scores.

 

A list of the top 15 AFC Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2004 Saturday, October 23, 2004 3208.25  
  2005 Saturday, January 1, 2005 3147.55  
  2024 Saturday, March 16, 2024 3118.61  
  2023 Saturday, November 25, 2023 3107.85  
  2013 Saturday, October 5, 2013 3087.37  
  2022 Tuesday, December 6, 2022 3059.40  
  2014 Saturday, February 15, 2014 3040.69  
  2012 Tuesday, October 2, 2012 3032.22  
  2011 Saturday, November 19, 2011 3000.79  
  2009 Tuesday, August 18, 2009 2984.99  
  2008 Saturday, December 6, 2008 2965.05  
  2020 Tuesday, February 4, 2020 2959.62  
  2021 Saturday, August 14, 2021 2946.65  
  2010 Saturday, January 16, 2010 2944.54  
  2019 Saturday, December 28, 2019 2936.77  
 
 

A list of the worst 15 AFC Hornchurch sides in history, based on their ELO score.

  Year Date Recorded ELO Score  
  2007 Tuesday, August 21, 2007 2758.86  
  2019 Saturday, January 26, 2019 2792.95  
  2018 Saturday, December 22, 2018 2796.17  
  2015 Saturday, April 25, 2015 2810.34  
  2008 Saturday, January 5, 2008 2858.38  
  2010 Saturday, October 2, 2010 2858.77  
  2014 Tuesday, September 30, 2014 2883.53  
  2011 Saturday, February 12, 2011 2891.20  
  2021 Saturday, October 23, 2021 2892.68  
  2009 Saturday, November 14, 2009 2894.66  
  2020 Saturday, October 10, 2020 2904.08  
  2022 Saturday, January 1, 2022 2930.18  
  2012 Saturday, March 17, 2012 2978.76  
  2013 Saturday, February 23, 2013 2995.40  
  2023 Monday, May 1, 2023 3010.21  
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant victories in AFC Hornchurch's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  Hornchurch (3100) vs. Darlington (3398)
  Sunday, November 9, 2003
-238.6 20.2% 2-0 +12.0 
  AFC Hornchurch (2780) vs. Chelmsford City (3044)
  Saturday, September 1, 2007
-214.4 22.5% 1-0 +15.5 
  Chelmsford City (3106) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2867)
  Saturday, February 9, 2008
-288.3 16.0% 0-4 +31.5 
  Hayes and Yeading United (3210) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2994)
  Saturday, December 1, 2012
-258.7 18.4% 1-3 +24.5 
  Dartford (3095) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2895)
  Saturday, November 28, 2009
-245.8 19.5% 0-1 +16.1 
  Basingstoke Town (3154) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2979)
  Saturday, September 8, 2012
-218.0 22.2% 0-2 +23.3 
  Chelmsford City (3185) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3011)
  Wednesday, March 13, 2013
-216.9 22.3% 1-4 +27.2 
  AFC Hornchurch (2792) vs. Hastings United (2950)
  Tuesday, September 25, 2007
-108.7 34.9% 3-2 +13.0 
  AFC Hornchurch (2810) vs. Leatherhead (2962)
  Saturday, August 11, 2018
-110.4 34.6% 3-0 +22.9 
  Billericay Town (2966) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2828)
  Saturday, December 15, 2007
-187.4 25.4% 0-2 +22.4 
  Ashford Town (2885) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2750)
  Saturday, August 18, 2007
-184.6 25.7% 4-5 +14.9 
  Leatherhead (2951) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2821)
  Saturday, February 23, 2019
-170.7 27.2% 1-2 +14.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (2982) vs. Eastleigh (3106)
  Saturday, November 17, 2012
-81.7 38.5% 1-0 +12.3 
  Tonbridge Angels (3021) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2908)
  Saturday, March 7, 2009
-160.3 28.4% 0-1 +14.3 
  Maidstone United (2910) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2798)
  Wednesday, November 28, 2007
-161.2 28.3% 0-2 +21.5 
  AFC Hornchurch (2803) vs. Enfield Town (2912)
  Saturday, February 16, 2019
-68.1 40.3% 2-0 +17.9 
  AFC Hornchurch (2857) vs. Heybridge Swifts (2965)
  Saturday, December 29, 2007
-59.0 41.6% 1-0 +11.7 
  AFC Hornchurch (2999) vs. Bath City (3105)
  Saturday, March 9, 2013
-63.1 41.0% 2-1 +11.8 
  AFC Hornchurch (2850) vs. Folkestone Invicta (2951)
  Tuesday, October 2, 2018
-60.1 41.4% 4-1 +20.5 
  AFC Hornchurch (3003) vs. Dorchester Town (3102)
  Saturday, September 15, 2012
-56.7 41.9% 1-0 +11.6 
 
 

A listing of the 20 most significant defeats in AFC Hornchurch's history, based on the ELO points difference between the two teams.

  Match Diff. Win/Draw
Exp %
Score ELO Score Change
  AFC Hornchurch (3024) vs. Cray Wanderers (2656)
  Tuesday, March 18, 2014
+408.3 91.3% 1-2 -18.3 
  Canvey Island (2817) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3112)
  Tuesday, April 16, 2024
+258.7 81.6% 4-1 -28.6 
  Aveley (2783) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3045)
  Saturday, November 12, 2022
+224.7 78.5% 1-0 -15.7 
  AFC Hornchurch (3021) vs. Hastings United (2770)
  Tuesday, March 6, 2012
+296.6 84.6% 0-1 -16.9 
  Bowers and Pitsea (2795) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3045)
  Monday, April 18, 2022
+211.0 77.1% 2-1 -15.4 
  AFC Hornchurch (3068) vs. Harrow Borough (2820)
  Tuesday, November 12, 2013
+288.5 84.0% 2-4 -25.2 
  AFC Hornchurch (3046) vs. Margate (2802)
  Saturday, March 25, 2023
+281.0 83.4% 2-3 -16.7 
  AFC Hornchurch (3029) vs. Wingate and Finchley (2796)
  Saturday, April 23, 2022
+272.0 82.7% 1-2 -16.5 
  Hastings United (2902) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3119)
  Tuesday, March 19, 2024
+180.1 73.8% 1-0 -14.8 
  AFC Hornchurch (2937) vs. Wingate and Finchley (2729)
  Tuesday, October 6, 2020
+247.4 80.6% 2-3 -16.1 
  AFC Hornchurch (3026) vs. Aveley (2821)
  Saturday, January 28, 2023
+242.4 80.1% 1-2 -16.0 
  Horsham (2730) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2933)
  Saturday, October 5, 2019
+163.3 71.9% 1-0 -14.4 
  AFC Hornchurch (3115) vs. Wingate and Finchley (2913)
  Saturday, March 30, 2024
+238.9 79.8% 1-2 -16.0 
  Bishop's Stortford (2756) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2952)
  Saturday, September 26, 2020
+156.5 71.1% 1-0 -14.2 
  Lowestoft Town (2741) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2922)
  Tuesday, August 24, 2010
+135.6 68.6% 2-0 -20.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (2995) vs. Hendon (2819)
  Tuesday, November 29, 2011
+221.7 78.2% 0-1 -15.6 
  AFC Hornchurch (3015) vs. Lewes (2841)
  Saturday, August 10, 2013
+215.3 77.5% 0-1 -15.5 
  AFC Hornchurch (3049) vs. Canvey Island (2878)
  Saturday, January 14, 2023
+208.9 76.9% 1-3 -23.1 
  Canvey Island (2841) vs. AFC Hornchurch (3011)
  Saturday, August 27, 2022
+132.9 68.2% 2-1 -13.6 
  Leatherhead (2786) vs. AFC Hornchurch (2952)
  Saturday, August 23, 2014
+125.0 67.3% 2-1 -13.5 
 
   

The twenty teams that AFC Hornchurch are most successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Folkestone Invicta 15 +4.42 
  Margate 27 +3.09 
  Enfield Town 15 +2.81 
  Harrow Borough 14 +1.99 
  Hastings United 14 +1.79 
  Maidstone United 12 +1.71 
  Carshalton Athletic 24 +1.45 
  Haringey Borough 11 +1.29 
  Wingate and Finchley 17 +1.13 
  Lewes 17 +0.97 
  Cray Wanderers 16 +0.78 
  Tonbridge Angels 14 +0.65 
  Wealdstone 12 +0.56 
  Kingstonian 21 +0.22 
  Billericay Town 20 -0.10 
  Bognor Regis Town 17 -0.15 
  Bishop's Stortford 11 -1.34 
  Horsham 19 -2.34 
  Hendon 14 -5.94 
  Canvey Island 16 -7.17 

The twenty teams that AFC Hornchurch are least successful against, based on the average ELO points won in games against them (minimum ten games played).

  Team Games Avg. Score
+/-
  Canvey Island 16 -7.17 
  Hendon 14 -5.94 
  Horsham 19 -2.34 
  Bishop's Stortford 11 -1.34 
  Bognor Regis Town 17 -0.15 
  Billericay Town 20 -0.10 
  Kingstonian 21 +0.22 
  Wealdstone 12 +0.56 
  Tonbridge Angels 14 +0.65 
  Cray Wanderers 16 +0.78 
  Lewes 17 +0.97 
  Wingate and Finchley 17 +1.13 
  Haringey Borough 11 +1.29 
  Carshalton Athletic 24 +1.45 
  Maidstone United 12 +1.71 
  Hastings United 14 +1.79 
  Harrow Borough 14 +1.99 
  Enfield Town 15 +2.81 
  Margate 27 +3.09 
  Folkestone Invicta 15 +4.42